Home Prices On The Rise, Says The October Home Price Index Report

More positive signals from housing -- home values are still on the rise.

According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency, after posting its first quarterly increase since 2007 this past September, the Home Price Index rose by another 0.6 percent in October.

Prices are up in 4 of the last six months.

But before we take the stats to the proverbial bank, it's important that we recognize the Home Price Index for its shortcomings.

1. HPI only accounts for homes with mortgages backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac
2. HPI only accounts for re-sold homes -- newly-built homes are excluded
3. HPI aggregates national data whereas real estate markets are local phenomena

On a broad scale, the Home Price Index can be useful, but it doesn't specifically apply to Tustin or any specific U.S. market.  For that, analysts tend to turn to the Case-Shiller Index, a privately-produced report that assesses home values in 20 cities nationwide.

 

The good news for home sellers in Northpark is that Case-Shiller's most recent report corroborates the government's conclusion -- home values are creeping back.

Home buyers should pay attention. When public and private sector data is in accord, markets tend to go along and, looking back, housing likely bottomed in February 2009.  Since then, home sales are up, home supplies are down, and values have increased in most U.S. markets.  Furthermore, so long as mortgage rates remain low and government stimulus is in place, the trend should continue through at least the first quarter of 2010.

If you're on the fence about buying a home right now, or wondering about timing, consider your options vis-a-vis today's market.  Into the new year, homes won't likely be as cheap to buy, nor to finance.

Moving To A New City? Check The Local Cost Of Living First.

It's not only the real estate markets that differ from town to town -- the Cost of Living does, too.

Insurance costs, tax bills and just plain, day-to-day living will dent a household budget differently depending on where that household is.  It can be a nerve-wracking fact for families moving from California across state borders.

As an aid for the budget-aware, Bankrate.com keeps a Cost of Living Comparison Calculator on its website.  The calculator asks 3 questions: (1) Where do you live now, (2) To where you are moving, and (3) What is your salary.  It then spits out a detailed, 58-item cost comparison list between the two cities.

Some of the key costs compared include:

• Everyday groceries
• Energy bills
• Routine healthcare
• Home ownership
• Clothes
• Sporting goods

The Cost of Living Comparison Calculator is thorough, with data culled from the ACCRA. You'll be surprised at how granular the list can get. On the ACCRA website, you can buy a similar report for $5.

On the Bankrate.com site, the data is free.

How To Remove Mildew Smells From A Front-Loading Washing Machine

The front-loading washing machine is a popular home appliance choice.  As compared to its top-loading counterpart, a front-loader can handle larger clothing loads, is gentler on garments, and uses about 1/3 less water.

However, because its design prevents water from fully draining, a front-loading washer can be a haven for mold and bacteria if not cared for properly.  It's the story the salesman doesn't often talk about and is the reason why products like Affresh exist.

If you own a front-loading, here's some steps to keep in-washer mildew at bay and your clothes smelling fresh.

1. Leave the door slightly open after every cycle. This allows water to evaporate.
2. Use low-sudsing, high-efficiency detergent. If your local store doesn't carry it, try Amazon.
3. Every week, pull back the rubber seal and wipe the inner ring with a cloth.
4. Clean the drain pump filter monthly, at least.
5. Run a bleach-and-hot-water cycle monthly, at least.

Front-loaders are good products, but require special care. Follow the steps above and your washer should remain mildew- and mold-free.

 

There's A Very Good Reason Why The New Home Sales Data Plunged In November

One day after November's Existing Home Sales report blew away estimates, the Census Bureau's related New Homes Sales report failed to impress.

A "new home" is a home that is newly-constructed; not bought as a resale.

In a lackluster showing, New Home Sales dropped 11 percent in November, falling to the lowest levels since April. Furthermore, the all-important "months of supply" climbed by a half-month to 7.9.

The press pounced on the figures and if you only read the headlines, you'd think that housing had cratered.  Some of the angles were quite bold, even:

• Weak U.S. Home Sales Show Recovery's Shakiness (Reuters)
• New Home Sales Plunge In November (CNNMoney.com)
• Housing Forecast : Off Life Support, Still In Critical Care (CBS News)

These headlines, although technically accurate, only tell half the story, however. The other half relates to November 30's role as the original First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit ending date.

See, different from home resales, when a contract is written on a newly-built home, the home is rarely finished.  This is the same in California as in any state.  According to the Census Bureau, just 1 in 4 new homes are sold "move-in ready".  The other 3 of 4 are in various stages of construction when a buyer signs on the dotted line.

Some have yet to break ground, even.

Regardless, it's at this date of signing that the Census Bureau counts the home as "sold" -- not at the actual closing.  This is the main driver of the November New Home Sales data dip.

First-time home buyers in Irvine would have risked up to $8,000 in federal tax credits if they bought a newly-built home and it wasn't ready for move-in by November 30, 2009.  And it wasn't until November 5 that the credit was officially extended.

Suddenly, first-timers representing more than half of last month's Existing Home Sales isn't so shocking. Buying new carried a lot risk.

There's always more to the story than the headline.  Sometimes, you have to dig deeper. Looking back over 10 months, the housing market is on a steady course of improvement. November's New Home Sales data -- although weak -- is not terrible.

Despite what the papers might say.

Home Inventories Plummet, Foreshadowing Higher Prices By Spring 2010

Home resales are soaring.

For the 4th consecutive month, the Existing Home Sales report revealed what today's buyers and sellers already know -- there's a lot of buyer activity in Irvine right now.

Existing Home Sales surged 7-plus percent in November, posting its largest number of recorded sales in 33 months.  Sales volume is up 44% higher versus last year.

It's another example of the housing market in recovery.

There were other interesting statistics buried in the November data, too.  According to the National Association of Realtors:

1. 51 percent of home buyers were first-timers
2. Distressed properties accounted for one-third of all sales
3. The median home sale price rose slightly

But of all the stats from the November Existing Home Sales report, perhaps the most important one is the one showing home supplies falling to 6.5 months. It's nearly half of the home supply available last November.

The rapid run-off of inventory throughout 2009 is more than a trend at this point and suggests higher home valuations in Northpark and elsewhere in 2010. Especially because mortgage rates are low, tax credits are available, and the press is giving housing positive coverage.

You shouldn't feel rushed to buy, but you probably don't wait too long, either.  The best deals of 2010 may be gone before that Spring Buying Season even starts.

When It's A Holiday Week, Mortgage Rate Shoppers Should Be Extra Vigilant

Mortgage pricing worsened Monday, driving California mortgage rates to their highest levels since October.

The day's action was drastic, too. 

Some banks issued as many as 3 rate sheets Monday -- each worse than the preceding and one reason why rates got so bad, so quickly, is because this week marks the beginning of mini-Vacation Season on Wall Street. 

Between now and January 4, 2010, be prepared for big swings in pricing from day-to-day.  Shopping for a mortgage could be a challenge.

The relationship between vacation days and mortgage rate volatility is rooted in how mortgage rates are "made".

1. Conforming mortgage rates are based on the price of mortgage-backed bonds, a security that is sold on Wall Street
2. Mortgage-backed bonds can't sell without a bond buyer and a bond seller agreeing to a specific sale price

So, during vacation week, when the total number of market participants are less, there are fewer opportunities for buyers and sellers to meet at a specific price.  As a result, bond prices rise and fall with a higher velocity than on a "normal" day.  Rallies and momentum plays are exaggerated, too.

Now, mortgage market action like this can work in your favor, or it could work out of your favor. Unfortunately, on Monday, rates for shoppers in Irvine moved out of favor.

This rest of this week is stacked with market-moving economic data. The data could be better-than-expected, or worse-than-expected.  Either way, markets will react a little more feverishly than normal.  Therefore, if you have a chance to lock a favorable rate, consider taking it.

Before long, the rate could be gone.

Keep Your Home Safe : The Consumer Product Safety Commission Recalls 50 Million Window Coverings

The U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission has issued a recall on 50 million window coverings, specifically Roman and roll-up blinds.  8 million such products are sold annually.

According to representatives of the CPSC, the danger of Roman and roll-up blinds relates to stangulation -- specifically of young children.  The blinds' design has led to 8 deaths and 16 near-strangulations this decade.

Despite the relatively small number of incidents as compared to the 125 million blinds sold since 2001, the Window Covering Safety Council is embracing the recall, offering safety tips and free retro-fit kits.

• Move cribs, beds and furniture away from window cords
  
• Keep window pull cords out of the reach of children
  
• Lock cords into position whenever possible -- even if resting on a windowsill

The video from NBC News highlights the risk of Roman and roll-up blinds. Order your free retro-fit kit online.

Housing Starts Jump; Home Sellers Lament.

Housing Starts jumped last month as builders got back to business.  It's a telling sign for the economy, but bad news for next season's sellers.

With more homes coming online, home prices may be slow to rise nationwide.

A "Housing Start" is a privately-owned home on which construction has started. In November, starts rose by nearly 9 percent while remaining within the same tight range we've seen since June.

More interesting that Housing Starts, though, is the accompanying data for Housing Permits. After a 5-month plateau, Housing Permits finally broke through, posting its largest number in 12 months.

This, too, bodes poorly for sellers.

Housing permits are precursors to housing starts so because the number of permits are higher today, we expect that the number of starts will be higher just a few months from now.

According to the Census Bureau, 82% of homes start construction within 60 days of permit-issuance.

More permits means more starts which, in turn, leads to a larger home inventory. And when home supplies grow faster than the home demand, prices fall.

Throughout the early part of 2010, low mortgage rates and federal tax credits should help hold demand high but if builders flood the market with new, quality product, sellers may find that they've lost some of their leverage.

For home buyers, the rise in starts is welcomed.

California New-Home Market Breaks into Positive Territory, CBIA Announces

SACRAMENTO – The pace of home sales at California new-home communities rose above year-ago levels for the first time since December of 2006, the California Building Industry Association reported today.

The monthly CBIA/Hanley Wood Market Intelligence (HWMI) New-Home Sales and Pricing Report showed that sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more were 25 percent above October 2008, a strong improvement from the lingering year-over-year decline last month and represents the first notable increase since the start of the housing downturn. During October, 2,294 new homes and condominiums were sold in the subdivisions tracked by Costa Mesa-based HWMI, compared to 1,838 in October 2008. Sales of single-family homes were up by 4 percent, while sales of townhomes and “plexes” – duplexes, triplexes, etc. – were up 36 percent and sales of condominiums were 94 percent higher than a year ago thanks to strong sales at projects in the Los Angeles and San Francisco areas.

Compared with the same period last year, the median base price of homes sold was still down, however, dropping 4 percent.

Non-seasonally adjusted total new-home sales were 1 percent below levels seen last month. This is also an improvement from the 29 percent decrease seen last year for the same month-to-month period.

Jonathan Dienhart, Director of Published Research for HWMI, noted the encouraging figures should be kept in perspective.

“While this month’s figures are encouraging, we must keep in mind that we’re comparing the figures to October of 2008, which was the second lowest month of nominal sales we’ve seen during the downturn,” Dienhart said. “Examining the data in a rolling twelve months tells a more realistic increase, with a 1.5 percent rise from last month.”

Dienhart also noted that the numbers could be distorted due to buyers rushing into the market to take advantage of a federal tax credit that was due to expire shortly after this time period.

“The next two months should still show some year-over-year gains due to how weak November and December of 2008 were, but are not likely to be as large as the 25 percent rise this month,” Dienhart said. “With all the significant economic obstacles facing California home buyers, it won’t be until next year when we see if or when a true recovery may materialize.”

Liz Snow, CBIA’s President and CEO, agreed and added that lawmakers should continue to look at ways to ensure a housing recovery, and a broader economic recovery, in the coming year.

“It’s great to finally see a year-over-year increase after seeing sales declines for so long, but the fact that we’re comparing the latest numbers to one of the lowest sales months of the downturn still doesn’t bode well for a housing recovery in the near future,” said Snow.

Snow noted that increased home sales will lead to more job-generating new-home construction and urged lawmakers to look at the benefits generated by the housing industry when taking up future legislation.

“Studies show that each new home built generates anywhere from two to three jobs and produces roughly $16,000 and $3,000 in tax revenues for state and local government, respectively,” said Snow. “We hope our state lawmakers will take into account the profound economic and fiscal benefits generated by the housing industry and take action to bolster the housing sector in hopes of encouraging a broader economic recovery in 2010.”

A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (December 16, 2009 Edition)

The Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

In its press release, the FOMC noted that the U.S. economy "has continued to pick up", that the jobs markets is getting better, and that housing market has shown "some signs of improvement" lately.

It's the fourth straight statement in which the Fed speaks optimistically about the U.S. economy -- a signal that the worst of the recession is likely behind us.

The economy isn't without threats, however, and the Fed identified several, including:

1. Tight credit conditions for consumers
   
2. Reluctancy of businesses to hire new workers
   
3. Lower overall housing wealth

The message's overall tone remained positive, however and inflation appears to be held in check.

Also in its statement, the Fed confirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent "for an extended period" and to honor its $1.25 trillion commitment to the mortgage bond market.  That plan -- due to expire at the end of March 2010 --  should be noted by today's homebuyers. Fed insiders estimate that the program suppressed rates by 1 percent through 2009.

Mortgage market reaction to the Fed press release is negative.  Mortgage rates are rising this afternoon.

The FOMC's next scheduled meeting is January 26-27, 2010.

Fannie Mae Gets Tough(er) On Borrowers. Again.

Fannie Mae raised the bar for mortgage applicants this past weekend.  Getting approved for a home loan just got harder.

In its official announcement, Fannie Mae says the updates minimize long-term lending risks.  If that's the case, this won't be the last guideline change Fannie Mae makes -- especially with loans defaulting at an above-normal clip.

The immediate changes are major. The first pertains to credit scores.

Effective December 13, 2009, the bulk of Fannie Mae's loans require a 620 credit score minimum.  There are very few exceptions.

A second relates to loans with private mortgage insurance. 

Homeowners whose loan-to-value exceeds 80 percent now have a choice:

1. Pay higher mortgage insurance premiums month-after-month
   
2. Pay a one-time fee paid at closing to compensate for higher risk

Both options result in higher consumer loan costs.

A third change concerns maximum debt-to-income ratio. Fannie Mae will no longer approve loans with debt ratios exceeding 45 percent except with very strong assets and very high credit scores. 

In no case whatsoever may debt-to-income exceed 50 percent.

There are other changes, too, including the elimination of seldom-used mortgage products and additional risk-based fees for "expanded level" mortgage approvals.  These updates affect just a small part of the population.

So, home prices are rebounding, mortgage rates are low, and -- for 5 more months at least -- there's a federal tax credit for qualified buyers.  You don't have to buy a home now, but with mortgage guidelines sure to tighten in 2010, now may be a better time than later.

The best "deal" won't matter if you can't get qualified on your mortgage.

The Federal Reserve's Relationship To Mortgage Rates

The Federal Open Market Committee meets today for the last time in 2009.  It's a 2-day meeting and the Fed is expected to leave the Fed Funds Rate near 0.000 percent.

But that doesn't mean mortgage rates won't change.

See, a major misperception among the public is that the Federal Reserve sets mortgage rates. That's false.  Mortgage rates are based on the price of mortgage-backed bonds.

As an example, since 2000, the Fed Funds Rate and the 30-year fixed rate mortgage have been within 1 percent of each other at times, and as far apart as 5 percent at others. 

If there was a direct relationship between the two, such a spread would be impossible.

The Federal Reserve doesn't set mortgage rates. Wall Street does.  However, whenever the Fed adjourns from its meetings, mortgage rates are susceptible to change.

For home buyers and rate shoppers, this week's Fed meeting takes on added significance.

Over the last half-year, the Fed has used its post-meeting press releases to acknowledge an improving economy in which growth is tempered by job loss and tepid spending.  In November, though, net job gains nearly went positive and Retail Sales data proved strong.

If the Fed gets more positive in its message tomorrow, mortgage rates will suffer.  This is because Wall Street will use the Fed's position on the economy as a reason to buy stocks.  Some of the cash to fuel those buys will come from the mortgage bond market.

As extra bond supply hits Wall Street, mortgage rates go up.

Similarly, if the Fed's message goes negative on the economy, investors are expected to sell their stock positions in favor of buying bonds.  This makes rates go down.

So, the Federal Reserve doesn't make mortgage rates, but it does exert an influence on them.  In other words, rate shoppers would be wise to watch for the FOMC's 2:15 PM adjournment.  Even though the Fed Funds Rate is expected to remain unchanged, mortgage rates certainly are not.

Tools For The Home : 16-In-1 Black And Decker ReadyWrench

When it comes to DIY projects, one socket size rarely fits all.  So, for light jobs around the house, the 16-in-1 Black & Decker socket wrench can come in handy.  Its official name is the ReadyWrench.

The ReadyWrench won't replace a complete socket set, but because it features the 16 most popular socket sizes, it can simplify your work. The tool fits SAE sizes (5/16 inch, 3/8 inch, 7/16 inch, 1/2 inch, 9/16 inch, 5/8 inch, 11/16 inch, 3/4 inch) and metric sizes, too (8mm, 10mm, 11mm, 13mm, 14mm, 16mm, 17mm, and 19mm).

The head rotates to 45 and 90 degrees so the tool can be used for ratcheting in tight places, when needed.

The ReadyWrench comes with a lifetime warranty and is available at most hardware stores and on Amazon.com for $30. If you're looking for an inexpensive, suitable gift for a DIY homeowner, the ReadyWrench could be your fit.

Strong Retail Sales Data Could Hamper Home Affordability

If you wonder what mortgage rates and home affordability will look like next year, today's Retail Sales data may hold your answer.

Versus October, November's ex-auto sales were up by more than 1 percent. Analysts expected the increase, but not an increase of this magnitude.

"Ex-auto" means that motor vehicles and parts are excluded from the data.

Home values are increasing in many parts of the country and household net worths are rising, too. Therefore, we can infer from the Retail Sales report that U.S. consumers are starting to feel better about their individual finances, and about the economy overall. 

To homebuyers and rate shoppers, strong Retail Sales data may foreshadow higher mortgages ahead.  This is because sales data is a by-product of consumer spending and consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy.

As spending increases, the economy tends to expand, drawing investment dollars into stock markets and away from bond markets -- including mortgage-backed bonds, the basis for conforming mortgage rates. 

Less bond demand leads to higher rates and, therefore, lower levels of home affordability.

Despite the Holiday Season momentum, however, 2009 will likely mark just the second time that Retail Sales data fell year-over-year since the government started tracking it 40 years ago.  The other year was 2008.

But, if November's Retail Sales is a reliable indicator of consumer sentiment overall, we should expect 2010 to rebound strongly.  And when it does, mortgage rates should suffer.

The housing market is recovering, mortgage rates are still near all-time lows, and the government is offering an $8,000 tax credit to qualified buyers through April 30, 2010.  If you plan to buy a home next spring, you may want to consider moving up your timeframe.  Waiting may be costly.

Foreclosure Activity Falls For The 4th Straight Month

Since peaking in July 2009, national foreclosure activity has dropped through 4 consecutive months. 

On a month-to-month basis, November's foreclosure activity fell another 8 percent.

However, national foreclosure activity continues to be dominated by a minority of states.

As reported by RealtyTrac.com, more than half of November's foreclosure-related activity sourced from just 4 states:

1. California
   
   
2. Florida
   
   
3. Illinois
   
   
4. Michigan

These are the same 4 states that topped October's foreclosure activity despite three of them posting month-to-month declines last month.

The remaining Top 10 states in terms of total foreclosure activity include Arizona, Texas, Ohio, Georgia, Nevada and New Jersey.

If you've been actively looking at REO lately you've likely noticed that true ;bargains are harder to find. This is because buyers of all types -- first-timers, move-ups, and investors -- are purchasing bank-owned homes aggressively and getting better at identifying the "best ones".

But just because supplies are dwindling doesn't mean you should just jump in. Buying foreclosures isn't for everyone for two very strong reasons

1. Homes are often sold as-is and may have "issues"
   
   
2. The closing process can be unpredictable

Therefore, if you're thinking of buying a foreclosed home, be sure to talk with your real estate agent about potential problem before going under contract.  Better too soon than too late.

There are still good deals in the foreclosure market, but based on November's data, they may not last through the winter. "Distressed home" sales now account for 30 percent of home resale activity.

How To Trim Your Utility Bill without Inconviencing Yourself

The average family spends $2,200 per year in electric bills and the average home is responsible for twice the amount of greenhouse gases than the average automobile.

Whether you want to save money or save the environment, this 5-minute piece from the NBC Today Show is for you. In it, you'll learn that just by being aware of your energy consumption, you can reduce it by up to 15 percent. 

The piece centers on a device called a Power Monitor which retails from $30 to $100, depending on the model. It measures the actual cost of using an appliance, or using a light, or charging a laptop, or any other household energy use.

Among the cost findings:

• A plugged-in phone charger no phone attached costs $0.10 per hour
  
• Cooking with a microwave costs $0.88 per hour
  
• Big screen TVs cost $0.06 per hour to operate

Obviously, turning off lights when rooms aren't in use saves money, too.

By making small changes -- most of which aren't inconvenient -- the average family can drop its energy bill by hundreds of dollars each year. 

Treasury Department Announces Program to Streamline Short Sales

On November 30, 2009, the Treasury Department released guidelines and forms for its new Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives Program (HAFA). HAFA is component of the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). NAR has been urging the Obama Administration to take action to address the many problems with short sales.

HAFA provides incentives in connection with a short sale or a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure (DIL) used to avoid foreclosure of a loan eligible for modification under the HAMP program. HAFA applies to loans not owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, which will issue their own versions in the coming weeks. Program features include: pre-approving sales terms before listing the property, prohibiting servicers from requiring reductions in real estate commissions that do not exceed 6 percent, paying incentives, releasing borrowers from future liability for the unpaid portion of the first mortgage debt, and imposing deadlines at each stage.

The program does not take effect until April 5, 2010, but servicers may implement it before then if they meet certain requirements. The program sunsets on December 31, 2012.

How To Increase Your 2009 Mortgage Interest Tax Deduction

For many American homeowners, interest paid on a mortgage is tax-deductible in the year in which it was paid.

Knowing that, eligible homeowners can increase their 2009 tax deductions just by making their January 2010 mortgage payment before the end of the year.

By paying in 2009, the mortgage interest paid can be applied against 2009's itemized tax deductions even though the payment isn't technically due until 2010.

It can reduce your tax burden come Thursday, April 15, 2010.

And lest you think you're paying the mortgage "in advance", remember that mortgage interest is paid in arrears; a payment due January 1 accounts for interest that accumulated in December 2009 anyway. 

Tax planning is a complicated issue and not all homeowners qualify for mortgage interest tax deductions. Check with your tax professional before making tax planning decisions.

If you don't have an accountant you trust, call or email me anytime; I'm happy to make a recommendation to you.

The Hidden Household Hazard That Will Send 40,000 People To The ER This Year

As temperatures turn cooler and home heating systems get fired, homeowners should learn to recognize the symptoms of carbon monoxide poisoning and how to safeguard against it.

Carbon monoxide poisoning presents like the flu -- headache, dizziness, and nausea.  As a result, many people confuse the two. 

Sometimes, the consequences are fatal. Each year, carbon monoxide sends 40,000 Americans to the emergency room and, as we learn from CBS News, those that survive are far more likely to develop and die from heart disease later in life.

Stay safe in your home.

1. Don't heat your home using your gas oven
   
2. Don't leave a running car in your garage
   
3. Service your gas-burning appliances annually

And, most important, install carbon monoxide detectors near every bedroom in your home.

2 Bedroom Marriott Desert Springs Villas II (Palm Desert)

7 nights at the Marriott Desert Springs Villas II in beautiful Palm Desert adjacent to a 36 hole golf course at the Desert Springs Marriott Hotel which has many fine restaurants and a European Spa. The villa can be locked off into 2 separate units. The property has an exercise room, 7 swimming pools, hot tub, playground, tennis and a poolside bar. Sleeps 8. Available 12/12/09 to 12/19/09. Price has been reduced from $1,600 to $1,000 for the week. Call 714-389-0180.

As Unemployment Rates Fall, Mortgage Rates Rise

This morning's jobs report is causing mortgage rates to rise, capping a week during which rates have already jumped 3/8 percent off all-time lows.

The government's November Non-Farm Payrolls report reinforced the notion that the recession is nearly over, if not over already.

Just 11,000 jobs were lost last month -- much fewer than analysts had expected -- as the Unemployment Rate fell to 10.0%.

If it seems strange to be talking economic recovery while Americans are still losing jobs -- 7.2 million since 2008 --  remember that data always needs context.

See, analysts view employment figures as a lagging indicator for the economy.  This is because business owners tend to make hiring decisions based on how business has been -- not on how it will be at some point in the future.

The jobs report rarely reflects the "right now".  As an example, job loss peaked in January 2009 -- 4 months after the height of the financial crisis. 

We saw the same pattern during the Recession of 2001. 

According to government data, during the last recession, job loss peaked in October 2001 but the recession ended the very next month.  It wasn't until October 2002 that employment went net positive on a monthly basis.

And this is why investors are cheering November's jobs report. Better-than-expected numbers and a falling Unemployment Rate show that the economy is improving.

Unfortunately for rate shoppers, better-than-expected data is pushing mortgage rates higher.  Rates are expected to open 0.250% higher versus yesterday's close.

'Tis the season to do shopping -- and get bombarded with offers to open credit cards.

'Tis the season to do shopping -- and get bombarded with offers to open credit cards.

The deals are tempting, too. "Open a charge card today" and save up to 20% on your purchase. Considering that the average Black Friday ticket was $343, that's $68 saved per store.

For big-ticket items like televisions, the savings are even bigger.

But for people in the market for a new home -- or looking to refinance -- taking advantage of in-store savings could be a long-term money loser.

Every time you apply for a credit card, your credit score drops.

According to myFICO.com, "new credit" accounts for 85 out of 850 possible credit scoring points.  New credit is defined by such traits as:

• Number of recently opened accounts
  
• Number of recent credit inquiries
  
• Time since credit inquiry(s)
  
• Proportion of accounts that are recently opened to all open accounts

Shoppers with few open credit cards are more likely to see their scores drop that shoppers with many cards. 

Regardless, a credit score is worth protecting because of how mortgage rates are made.  A conventional mortgage applicant with 20% equity whose FICO is 720-739 will be offered rates 0.125% higher than a comparable applicant at 740.

• For 700-719, the rate increases by 0.375%
  
• For 680-699, the rate increases by 0.750%
  
• For 660-679, the rate increases by 1.250%

Having a low credit score can be expensive.

It is okay to take advantage of in-store savings during the holiday shopping season, but it's also important to be aware of how your credit score may be affected.  

If you're not applying for a mortgage in the next six months, you'll likely be alright.  But, on the other hand, if you know you'll need your FICO soon, consider whether saving 15 percent on a $343 ticket is worth the long-term cost of a higher mortgage rate.

Pending Home Sales Data Forecasts Higher Home Values Ahead

When a home seller accepts a contract on an MLS-listed property, the property's status changes from "Active" to "Pending".

This means the home is scheduled to sell, but not yet sold.

Each month, the National Association of Realtors® tallies the number of pending homes and publishes the data as the Pending Homes Sales Index report.

In October, for the 9th straight month, the index gained. It's the longest such streak in Pending Home Sales history.

Because a "pending" home sale is just a contract between buyer and seller, it's not as important to the economy as actual home sales.  However, the Pending Home Sales Index can be a fine predictor of future activity.

Historically, 80 percent of homes under contract "close" within 60 days, and most others close within 120 days. Recent Existing Home Sales data corroborates this.  Home sales activity is at its highest pace in nearly 3 years.

The Pending Home Sales Index does have some shortcomings, though:

1. It doesn't account for newly constructed homes, a small but important part of the real estate market
   
2. It doesn't track For Sale By Owner properties and other non-MLS listed homes
   
3. Its sample set is small, measuring just 20 percent of all MLS-listed sales

Despite this, however, Pending Home Sales is a terrific measure of real estate market strength.  Homes are going under contract at a dizzying pace. It's thinning out home inventory supplies and pressuring prices to rise.

This chain reaction is what makes Pending Home Sales Index worth tracking. As the number of homes under contract increase, home prices can't be far behind.

Home Inventory Plummets, Pushing Prices Higher

I

The supply of newly-built homes fell to its lowest levels since 2006, offering additional proof of a housing market in recovery.

Home supply is defined as the amount of time it would take to sell the current inventory of homes at the current pace of sales.

n October, for the 8th consecutive month, home supplies fell. Since peaking in January 2009, it's now down by almost half.

Lower supply leads to higher prices.  This is Economics 101.

Furthermore, supply is expected fall into 2010. According to the government, builders are breaking ground on new homes at a declining pace, even as sales ramp up.

Builders are cheering the October New Home Sales report, but its the everyday sellers of "existing homes" that have real reason to celebrate.

See, as builders clear out their respective inventories and turn profitable, there's less reason for them to offer the types of over-the-top purchase incentives that characterized the last 12 months of selling. 

With fewer builder incentives, the playing field levels between large corporations and individual home sellers.

And while this is happening, buyers are eagerly taking advantage of low mortgage rates and federal tax credits for buying homes.  It's pressuring home prices higher overall.

Since January 2009, the average sale price of a newly-built home is up 6 percent.

Get Your Home Ready For Listing : How To Eliminate Home Odors Completely

Difficult home odors plague homeowners.  Ground into rugs, absorbed into walls, and clinging to furniture, some smells are slow to fade, leaving lasting impressions on both guests and potential buyers. Often, that impression is unfavorable.

Do something about it. 

In this 4-minute piece from NBC's The Today Show, you'll learn how to eliminate bad smells and prevent them from returning.  It's all basic direction, too:

• How to use the porous nature of wood to your advantage
  
• How to remove get "smoke smell" out of a wall
  
• How to improve a home's air quality by cleaning carpets

For more serious offenses, the video covers in-home air purifiers, too.

"Smelly homes" are undesirable and can make your home less attractive to buyers.  Watch the video, follow the instruction, and declare your home an Odor-Free Zone.

Home Sellers: Top 5 Home ImprovementBased on Cost and Return on Investment

HomeGain.com, one of the first websites to offer Web-based free instant home values, announced that it has released the results of its nationwide home improvement and home staging Home Sale Maximizer survey.

HomeGain’s recent survey shows the top do-it-yourself home improvements that Realtors recommend to home sellers. HomeGain received responses from nearly 1,000 Realtors nationwide and configured a list of the top 12 do-it-yourself (DIY) home improvements that cost under $5,000 and benefit sellers most when they sell their homes.

According to the HomeGain survey, the top five home improvements that Realtors recommend to home sellers based on cost and return on investment (from highest to lowest ROI) are:

1. Cleaning and de-cluttering ($200 cost / $1,700 price increase / 872% ROI)
2. Home staging ($300 cost / $1,780 price increase / 586% ROI)
3. Lightening and brightening ($230 cost / $1,300 price increase / 572% ROI)
4. Landscaping ($320 cost / $1,500 price increase / 473% ROI)
5. Repairing plumbing ($385 cost / $1,250 price increase / 327% ROI)

Cleaning and de-cluttering continues to rank as the top suggested home improvement (since the survey was originally conducted in 2000), recommended by 98% of Realtors, costing less than $200 and returning a value of nearly $1,700 to the home’s sale price, or an 872% return on investment.

“Many Realtors agree, especially in a buyer’s market, that sellers who make these recommended home improvements often get their homes sold faster and at higher prices,” stated Louis Cammarosano, General Manager at HomeGain. “We have customized our Home Sale Maximizer online home improvement tool to help identify and prioritize the projects that can increase the salability and selling price of a home.”

Rounding out the top 12, the list of low cost, do-it-yourself home improvements includes: updating electrical, replacing or shampooing carpets, painting interior walls, repairing damaged floors, updating kitchen, painting outside of home, and updating bathroom/s.

The home improvement projects with the highest price increases to a home’s resale value are updating the kitchen ($1,200 cost / $2,850 price increase), followed by painting the outside of the home ($900 cost / $1,815 price increase) and home staging ($300 cost / $1,780 price increase).

“Inexpensive cosmetic home improvements and basic improvements greatly enhance the value of the home,” stated Carol Wilson of Carpenter Real Estate in Indianapolis, IN, HomeGain AgentEvaluator member since 1999.

One Reason Why Mortgage Rates Are Back To All-Time Lows

Home affordability improved this week after the Federal Reserve released its November 3-4, 2009 meeting minutes.

The FOMC Minutes is a companion to the Federal Reserve's post-meeting press release. It's released 3 weeks after the Fed adjourns and details the internal debates that shape our nation's monetary policy. 

As compared to the press release, the minutes can be rather lengthy. November's press release featured 428 words, the minutes offered 6531.

However, this extra level of detail shapes markets and mortgage rates.  With Wall Street unsure about the economy's path, investors look to our nation's central bankers for guidance.

The Fed has made several points clear:

1. The economy shows tell-tale signs of improvement
   
2. Unemployment threatens the recovery
   
3. Inflation pressures are low, for now

Overall, the FOMC Minutes paint the economy as in a state of measured repair, and under tight federal surveillance.  Investors like this message and, as a result, stock and bonds markets are improving.

If you haven't checked mortgage rates lately, make a point to do that.  In the wake of the FOMC Minutes, conforming mortgage rates are now hovering near their all-time lows set exactly 1 year ago.

The Home Price Index Shows Home Values Increasing. Case-Shiller Agrees.

It's official -- home prices are no longer in free fall. 

According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency, the Home Price Index posted its first quarterly increase since 2007 last quarter.

The news was reported Tuesday.

The Home Price Index is an interesting metric.  It's huge in its scope, accounting for every home sold in the country that backs a mortgage bound for Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac with two notable exceptions:

1. It doesn't track new construction
   
2. It doesn't track multi-unit homes

Because the Home Price Index makes these specific exclusions, and because it doesn't account for FHA and jumbo mortgages, some analysts discount the HPI's relevance.  They prefer the private-sector Case-Shiller Index instead.

Now, to be fair, the Case-Shiller has its own set of flaws, too. 

For example, it excludes condos and co-ops, and only tracks sales in 20 cities nationwide.  But, of all the private home valuation models, Case-Shiller is the most well-known and most widely-used.

The Case-Schiller Index was also released Tuesday and the report showed the same results as its government-issued counterpart -- home values increased between the second and third quarter.

When the Home Price Index and Case-Shiller Index reach similar conclusions, markets tend to buy-in.  Home buyers should, too. 

Home values have likely bottomed and are starting to turn higher, as shown in two separate reports.  High sales volume and dwindling supply are contributing factors.  So are low mortgage rates and a tax credit.

If you're on the fence about buying a home, at least consider your options.  In 2010, homes are unlikely to be as cheap to buy, or as cheap to finance.

Existing Home Sales Blow Past Expectations

Another month, another piece of evidence that the housing market is in recovery.

Existing Home Sales surged in October as the nation's homebuyers took advantage of low mortgage rates, low list prices, and, for some, a generous tax credit.

Home resales are 23 percent higher versus a year ago and home supply is down to 7 months nationwide.

Inventory hasn't been this low since February 2007.

The news shouldn't be surprising, however.  The same real estate trade group that produces the Existing Home Sales report also publishes a monthly report meant to predict future home sales called the Pending Home Sales Index.

Pending Home Sales have been through the roof since mid-May.

So, with pending home sales showing no signs of slowing and 80% of pendings turning into actual, closed sales, we can expect existing home sales volume to rise in the coming months, too.  Especially because Congress extended the home buyer tax credit to include (1) "Move-up" buyers and, (2) Buyers with higher household incomes.

It's terrific news for home sellers. The housing market turnaround means higher sale prices and fewer concessions to buyers long-term.

To buyers, on the other hand, the news isn't so good. The window to find a "deal" appears to be closing quickly.

Help! Thanksgiving Is Thursday And I Don't Know What To Cook!

Thanksgiving is Thursday. If you're cooking for group (or a crowd) and you haven't yet put your menu in order, click on through Bon Appetit's Thanksgiving Menu Planner.

Answer to 3 basic questions and Bon Appetit serves up a list of dishes and their respective recipes.

1. For how many people are you cooking?
   
2. How much time do you have to cook?
   
3. What's your style?

The dishes range from the simple (Pumpkin Pie with Spiced Whipped Cream) to the sophisticated (Herb Roasted Turkey with Apple Cider Gravy).  There's even a menu for vegetarians.

It's not too late to host a delicious Thanksgiving dinner. Bon Appetit can get you moving in the right direction.

 

 

 

Affordable Prices Draw Investors to Real Estate

Affordable prices and foreclosures are attracting investors to the housing markets today, and the number of consumers interested in investing in real estate has doubled since March 2009, according to the new Move.com Homeownership Survey recently released. Low prices and foreclosure bargains have also become the most important reasons motivating buyers today to purchase a home.

According to the Move.com survey, one out of eight (12.1%) homebuyers today plan to purchase a home as an investment property, compared to 5.6% seven months ago. Of those interested in buying a home for investment, 15.8% were men and 8.1% were women.

Foreclosure buyers, accounting for 25.3% of consumers interested in purchasing a home, are a major source of potential investment activity for today’s housing market. Forty-two percent (42%) of potential foreclosure buyers regard their purchases as investments, while 57.6% plan to live in the foreclosed home themselves. Foreclosure investors, according to the Move.com survey, intend to convert their foreclosures into rentals (13.2%), fix them up for re-sale (11.3%), or house a family member until the home can be sold at a profit (17.4%). Of the 42% interested in purchasing a foreclosure as an investment, survey respondents ages 35 to 49 (52.6%) were by far the largest demographic.

Expected Profits Gained From Purchase Discounts and Appreciation
The Move.com survey found foreclosure buyers expect to profit from both deeply discounted purchase prices, as well as healthy appreciation rates over five years. Most foreclosure buyers (58.2%) expect to pay 20% or less than market price for a foreclosure, while 38.5% expect a 25% or greater discount. While, 73% expect their properties to appreciate ten percent or more in five years, 28% expect their purchases to appreciate 20% or more during that same investment horizon.

According to the Federal Housing Finance Administration’s Purchase Index, homes have appreciated an average of 15% nationally since 2004. According to the Move.com survey, the most important reasons motivating prospective home buyers and investors to purchase a house include concerns that prices are as low as they will go (23.6%) and the desire to take advantage of foreclosure bargains (18.7%). The second most important reasons motivating property purchases include taking advantage of the great selection of homes for sale in their community (21.2%) and concern interest rates will rise (14.2%).

“This latest Homeownership Survey validates what many had hoped to see in the housing markets – affordable prices and ample inventories are restoring the appeal of real estate to investors while providing opportunities for first-time home buyers to enter the market,” said Move, Inc., Chief Revenue Officer, Errol Samuelson. “In today’s environment, regardless of whether you’re an investor or interested in purchasing a home to live in yourself, residential real estate is a more attractive investment today for many than it has been in recent years.”

Fear of Foreclosure Fades
While foreclosure filings reached record levels in the third quarter in 2009, with one in every 136 American homes receiving a foreclosure filing, homeowners today are actually less concerned that they or someone they know may be facing foreclosure as compared to seven months ago. In March 2009, 52.5% of all survey respondents said they were concerned that they or someone they know may face foreclosure in the next 6 to 12 months. That number dipped slightly to 45.1% in October 2009. According to the survey, fear of foreclosure today is greater among women (49.3%), with people earning $50,000 or more annually (43.9%), and with people living in the South (42.6%) and West (55%). The six states today with the highest rate of foreclosures are California, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Illinois, and Michigan. These six states accounted for 62% of the nation’s total foreclosure activity in the third quarter of this year.

Should I Consider A 15-Year Fixed Mortgage?

For today's home buyers and homeowners that can manage the higher monthly payments, 15-year fixed rate mortgage rates look attractive as compared to comparable 30-year products.

The 15-year/30-year interest rate spread is near its 5-year high.

Despite lower rates, however, homeowners opting for a 15-year fixed mortgage should be prepared for its higher monthly payments.  This is because the principal balance of a 15-year fixed is repaid in half the years as with a standard, 30-year amortizing product.

As compared to 30-year terms, 15-year products repay 3 times as much principal each month.

Versus a 30-year, 15-year fixed mortgages have a few downsides worth noting.  The first is that, because 15-year mortgages are heavy on principal and light on interest, homeowners who itemize tax returns may have to claim a smaller mortgage interest tax deduction at tax time.

Another negative is that the sheer size of the payment.  If you run into fiscal trouble down the road, the only way to reduce the monthly obligation is to refinance into a 30-year product and that costs money to do. 

In other words, be sure you can manage the payments over the long-term before you opt for a 15-year term.   If you can manage it, though, the rewards are tangible.

At today's rates, a 15-year fixed and 30-year fixed is $230 per $100,000 borrowed.

Housing Starts Are Down And Why It's Terrific News For Sellers

A "Housing Start" is a home on which construction has started and, for the 4th straight month, national single-family housing starts held steady last month. 

When the demand for homes grows faster than the number of homes for sale, prices increase. 

As recent home sales data confirms, buyers currently outpace sellers and one consequence of this is an increase in multiple-offer situations this year. 

It's no wonder home prices are up across so many neighborhoods.

October's Housing Starts report is yet another piece of housing data foreshadowing rising home prices into 2010.

Building Permits were also down in October, a potential demand-to-supply imbalance magnifier. Without permits, there's no future construction. This drains supply. Meanwhile, tax breaks and low rates tend to stimulate demand and, right now, we've got both. 

Therefore, so long as demand remains semi-constant into the New Year, expect home prices to rise. 

In many markets, they already are.

2010 Conforming Loan Limits

A conforming mortgage is one that, quite literally, conforms to the mortgage guidelines set forth by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

Each year, the government sets the maximum allowable loan size for a conforming mortgage, based on "typical" housing costs nationwide. 

Loans in excess of this amount are typically called "jumbo".

While home prices increased from 1980 to 2006, so did conforming loan limits.  Since then, however, as home prices have dipped, the conforming loan limit has held.

Now, in 2010, for the 5th consecutive year, the government set $417,000 as the nation's conforming mortgage loan limit.

The 2010 conforming loan limits, as released by the government, are:

• 1-unit properties : $417,000
  
• 2-unit properties : $533,850
  
• 3-unit properties : $645,300
  
• 4-unit properties : $801,950

But conforming loan limits don't apply to all U.S. geographies equally.  As a result of various economic stimuli since 2008, the government now considers certain regions around the country "high-cost" areas.  In these areas, conforming loan limits can range to $729,750.

There are less than 200 such areas nationwide.  The complete list is published on the Fannie Mae website.

Simple Real Estate Definitions : APR

APR is an acronym for Annual Percentage Rate.  It's a government-mandated calculation meant to simplify the comparison of mortgage options.

A loan's APR can always be found in the top-left corner of the Federal Truth-In-Lending Disclosure.

Because APR is expressed as a percentage, many people confuse it for the loan's interest rate.  It's not.  APR represents the total cost of borrowing over the life of a loan.  "Interest rate" is the basis for monthly mortgage repayments.

The main advantage of APR is that it allows an "apples-to-apples" comparison between loan products. 

As an example, a 5.000 percent mortgage with origination points and fees will almost certainly have a higher APR than a 5.500 percent mortgage with zero fees.  In this sense, APR can help a borrower determine which loan is least costly long-term.

However, APR is not without its shortcomings.

First, different banks includes different fees into their APR calculations.  By definition, this spoils APR as a choose-between-lenders, apples-to-apples comparison method.

And, second, when calculating APR, "life of the loan" is assumed to be full-term.  When a 30-year mortgage pays off in 7 years or fewer -- as most of them do -- APR comparisons are rendered moot.

In other words, APR is just one metric to compare mortgages -- it's not the only metric.  The best way to compare your mortgage options is to review all the loan terms together and determine which is most suitable.

How To Remove Stains From Granite Countertops

Granite countertops can be handsome additions to a kitchen, but are a challenge to clean sometimes -- especially when they're stained.

In this 2-minute video from eHow.com, in addition to granite-cleaning basics, we learn how to remove wine and marker stains from our granite countertops. Unfortunately, not every household will have the video's recommended cleaning compounds on hand, so prepare yourself for a trip to the hardware store.

Printable, written instructions for cleaning your granite are available on the eHow.com website.

Fannie Mae to Rent Foreclosed Homes to Their Owners

Qualifying homeowners facing foreclosure will be able to stay in their homes—as renters—under a new program announced recently by Fannie Mae.

The Deed for Lease Program is designed to help borrowers who aren’t eligible or haven’t been able to sustain other work-out solutions, including a modification, according to a news release.

Participating borrowers voluntarily transfer their property deed back to the lender; the lender then leases the house back to the borrower at a market rate for up to a year. After the period is up, there’s a possibility of a term renewal or a month-to-month lease arrangement, the release said.

“The Deed for Lease Program provides an additional option for qualifying homeowners who are facing foreclosure and are not eligible for modifications,” said Jay Ryan, vice president of Fannie Mae, in the release. “This new program helps eliminate some of the uncertainty of foreclosure, keeps families and tenants in their homes during a transitional period, and helps to stabilize neighborhoods and communities.”

To qualify, the home must be the borrower’s primary residence, and he or she needs to be released from any subordinate liens on the property. The borrower also has to document that the new market rental rate doesn’t exceed 31% of his or her gross income.

“This policy takes advantage of the fact that in many former bubble markets, ownership costs are likely to be far higher than the cost of renting an equivalent unit, if the homeowner purchased their home near the peak of the market. In many cases this gap can be dramatic,” said Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, in a separate release.

“For example, the savings on a moderate-priced home purchased near the peak of the market in the Washington, D.C., area could be more than $1,300 a month. The gap between ownership costs and renting in the Los Angeles area could be almost $2,000 a month,” he said. “Many homeowners who could not sustain mortgages based on the original purchase price, even with sharp reductions in interest rates, can afford the market rent.”

Baker called the Deed for Lease Program a “very big step” toward giving families facing foreclosure more housing security.

“Families that like their home, their neighborhood, or the schools for their children will have the opportunity to stay in their house even after foreclosure,” he said. “This is also good policy for neighborhoods that have been hard-hit by foreclosures. The Deed for Lease Program will keep the homes occupied rather than being an eyesore and a potential safety hazard.”

But Baker does have one criticism of the program: He said the guaranteed lease period should be longer than a year—possibly contingent on timely rent payments and proper upkeep. “Nonetheless, the new policy by Fannie Mae is an important step forward in dealing with the housing crisis,” he said.

Will There Be Any Foreclosure Deals Left?

For the eighth straight consecutive month, national foreclosure activity in the U.S. was dominated by a small set of states.

As reported by RealtyTrac.com, more than half of October's foreclosure-related activity came from just 4 states:

1. California
   
2. Florida
   
3. Illinois
   
4. Michigan

The remaining Top 10 states in terms of total foreclosure activity included Arizona, Georgia, Texas, Ohio, New Jersey, and Maryland.

Foreclosures are up 19 percent from last October, but a deeper look at the RealtyTrac report revealed two positive developments for the housing market.

1. Foreclosure activity is down 3 percent from last month
   
2. Foreclosures per Household decreased in 9 of the 10 most heavily concentrated states

Furthermore, Nevada's foreclosure pace is down 4% from last year.  This is a big deal because Nevada has long led the nation in foreclosure-related activity. Until last month, Nevada's year-to-year foreclosure rate hadn't fallen in more than 4 years.

It's too soon to say that the foreclosure market is drying up, but bargains are getting harder to come by.  First-time buyers and bona fide investors alike have been snapping up property at a furious pace.

According to an industry trade group, distressed homes account for nearly one-third of home resale activity.

That said, buying foreclosures isn't for everyone.

For one, properties are often sold as-is and may be defective.  The cost of repairs may negate "the deal" or "the steal" -- depending on the cost of the home.

Secondly, closing on a foreclosed home can be a 3-month long process. This is because banks rarely process home sale paperwork as fast as a "person" would. A 3-month timeframe may not fit your schedule.

In the end, fundamentally, buying a foreclosed home is the same as buying a "regular" home -- there's a contract and a closing.  Most of the steps in the middle, however, are different. 

Read the complete foreclosure report and take a peek at the foreclosure heat maps on the RealtyTrac website.  If you like what you see, talk to your real estate agent about what to do next.

There's still good deals in the foreclosure market, but based on October's data, they may not last through the winter.

Banks Raise Mortgage Qualification Standards

Despite the economy's improvement and prodding from Congress, banks don't seem ready to open their purse strings just yet.

Nationally, mortgage approval standards are tightening.

The data comes from a quarterly survey the Federal Reserve sends to its member banks.  The Fed asks senior bank loan officers around the country whether "prime" residential mortgage guidelines had tightened in the last 3 months.

For the period July-September 2009:

• Roughly 1 in 4 banks said guidelines tightened
  
• Roughly 3 in 4 banks said guidelines were "basically unchanged"

Just one bank said its guidelines had loosened.

Combine the Fed's survey with recent underwriting updates from the FHA and from Fannie Mae and it becomes clear that mortgage lenders are much more cautious about their loans than they were, say, 2 years ago.

Today's borrowers face a host of hurdles including:

• Higher minimum FICO scores
  
• Larger downpayment requirements for purchases
  
• Larger equity positions for refinances
  
• Lower debt-to-income ratios

In other words, mortgage rates may stay low into 2010, but that won't matter to homeowners that don't meet minimum eligibility standards.  With each passing quarter, that list gets smaller.

Therefore, if you're on the fence about whether now is a good time to buy a home, remember that, along with an increase in mortgage approval standards, home values are rising, too. 

Acting sooner is probably better than acting later.

Are Short Sales Really the Next Big Thing?

If you believe the hype, it appears that the next phase of the housing market recovery is going to rely heavily on short sales to help remove distressed properties from the home sales pipeline.

A “short sale” is a sale where the bank accepts as full value a price that’s less than what’s owed on the property. The debt is forgiven (although not always without some tax consequences), a foreclosure is avoided, a buyer gets a good deal on a property, the bank saves thousands of dollars in legal fees and the real estate agent makes a commission. Elegant. Practical. Simple. But as we’ll see, not really quite so simple.

Short sales were never intended to be a mass market solution. Rather, they were relatively rare occurrences that took place when an unfortunate homeowner had a financial catastrophe—a job loss, a divorce, a medical problem—at precisely the same time his or her home lost significant value. When that happened, a loss mitigation manager at a bank would research the market, review the homeowner’s financial documents, carefully consider whether the borrower and loan in question met the criteria to justify a short sale and act accordingly.

This approach worked well when there was one request a week or every few months. But with over 1.1 million homes in various stages of foreclosure in the RealtyTrac database, the workload for these loss mitigation managers has exploded from several a month to hundreds a week, with no drop-off in the amount of paperwork or research needed. So there are unavoidable delays in simply processing the volume of paperwork.

But it gets worse. Each lending institution has slightly different versions of short sale forms. Property valuations, even—perhaps especially—appraisals, are in a state of flux, so loss mitigation managers are struggling to determine whether a short sale offer is reasonable or just plain silly. And there are some accounting issues: in many cases, lenders may opt to decline a good short sale offer today so that they can defer the loss (even though it may be a much greater loss) to a subsequent quarter—or even later.

And there’s more. A second loan on a property makes it much more than twice as difficult to execute the sale. The second loan either needs to be negotiated away completely or satisfied with some nominal payment. In other cases, the holder of the primary mortgage may find it better financially to foreclose, wipe out the second lien, and simply use that amount as a discount to sell the property at a profit. Similarly, if there’s mortgage insurance on the note, the investor may decide it’s better to foreclose, collect the insurance, and let the insurer worry about getting value for the house.

So why all the hype? Well, with the REO pipeline clogged and choking, and loan modification programs failing to make a dent in foreclosure numbers, short sales represent an opportunity to feed the demand for discounted properties while reducing the number of foreclosures. What can you do to help make this happen? What does the government have in mind? We’ll cover all that and more in next month’s column.

FHA Streamline Refinance Program : There's 5 Days Left

Consider this a last call for FHA Streamline Refinances.  Starting next Tuesday, the popular rate-lowering program gets strict on borrowers.

There's 5 days left.

Under the current streamline refi guidelines, FHA homeowners have minimal program eligibility requirements.

• FICO scores must be 620 or higher
  
• The refinance must provide a "tangible benefit"
  
• No mortgage lates allowed in the last 12 months

Beyond that, everything else goes, practically.  There's no income, asset, or job verification with the current FHA Streamline program. Neither is there an appraisal requirement.  It doesn't matter if you're 50% underwater.

Until next week, that is. 

Beginning November 17, FHA Streamline Refinance applicants must show evidence of income and employment, plus proof of cash required to close. Furthermore, the FHA is limited loan-to-values to 97.75% for homeowners that want to "roll closing costs" into their mortgage.

In areas of declining home values, this may render refinancing impossible.

There's more changes, too, as highlighted by the Federal Housing Commissioner. Read up for yourself, or ask a mortgage professional for help.

If you're a homeowner and you're currently financed through the FHA, it may be prudent to explore the possibility of an FHA Streamline Refi.  Mortgage rates are low right now and FHA guidelines are loose.

Starting next week, FHA Streamlines will be a completely different beast.

In What Direction Should My Ceiling Fan Blades Rotate?

It's November.  The official start of winter is 6 weeks away.  For homeowners with ceiling fans, let this be a reminder to reverse your units' blade rotation.

Watch this 2-minute video for a hands-on demonstration of changing the direction of your ceiling fans, plus a clever test using ordinary tissue to see if you've done it properly.

In the cooler months, the blades of a ceiling fan should be set to rotate clockwise.  It forces warm air at the top of a room to recirculate downward into the "living space".  Proper blade rotation can change a room's "feel" by 8 degrees or more, allowing for more modest settings on a home thermostat.

Holiday Rental, United States, California, 2 bedrooms - International Vacation Rentals - Kijiji Los Angeles

Holiday Rental, United States, California, 2 bedrooms - International Vacation Rentals - Kijiji Los Angeles

Congress Expands And Extends The First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit

Congress both extended and expanded the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit program Thursday. 

The White House says the President will sign it into law today.

The up-to-$8000 tax credit's expiration date has been pushed forward to spring, requiring homebuyers to be under contract by April 30, 2010, and to be closed by June 30, 2010.

The program's basic eligibility requirements remain the same:

• Buyers can't purchase the home from a parent, spouse, or child
  
• Buyers can't purchase the home from an entity in which they're a majority owner
  
• Buyers can't acquire the home by gift or inheritance
  
• All parties to the purchase must meet eligibility requirements

The new law includes some notable updates, however. 

For one, the definition of "first-time home buyer" has been expanded to include most homeowners with at least 5 years in their current home.  "Move-up" buyers like these are now eligible for IRS tax credits, but with a cap at $6,500.

This means that you don't have to be a true first-time home buyer to claim the "first-time home buyer tax credit".

Other eligibility changes include:

• The subject property's sales price may not exceed $800,000
  
• The subject property must be a primary residence
  
• Income thresholds raised to $125,000 for single-filers and $225,500 for joint-filer

And remember, the First-Time Home Buyer program grants a tax credit as opposed to a deduction.  This means that a tax filer would receive a cash payment of $2,000 from the U.S. Treasury if his "normal" tax liability totals $6,000 and he was eligible for all $8,000 available under the new law.

The complete list of qualifying criteria is posted on the IRS website.  Be sure to review it with a tax professional to determine your eligibility.  Then mark your calendar for April 30, 2009.

It's 5 months away.

Senate Clears Homebuyer Tax Credit Extension; May Pass as Early as This Week

After two weeks of delay, the Senate cleared the way to pass a seven month extension and expansion of the tax credit for homebuyers. By an 85 to 2 roll call vote, the Senate voted to cut off debate on a package of measures that includes the homebuyer credit, making it virtually certain that the legislation will reach President Obama for his signature this week.

The homebuyer tax credit, due to expire at the end of November would be extended through April 30 of next year. First-time buyers who are in the process of making a purchase would not need to worry about qualifying for the $8,000 credit if they close after the November 30 deadline.

For the first time, the legislation that was recently cleared makes move-up buyers as well as first-time buyers eligible for a credit. The $8,000 maximum first-timer credit will continue and will now be available to couples with income up to $225,000, a nearly $55,000 increase above the level in existing law. A new $6,500 maximum credit would also be available to move-up homeowners who have lived in their current residence for five of the prior eight years.

For homebuyers across the country, the expanded tax credit would allow more people to qualify for the credit. While two-thirds of American families own their own home, and most earn less than the income limits that have been established within the extension, more buyers may be eligible. Move-up buyers don’t have to sell their current home to qualify for the new credit, but the money cannot be used to buy a vacation home. “It’s only for a primary residence,” said Regan Lachapelle, a spokeswoman for Sen. Harry Redi (D-Nev.), who helped engineer the deal. “In expanding the tax credit, we are helping first-time home buyers, as well as homeowners looking to move up to a new home, but we would exclude from the credit speculators who may have recently purchased a home intending to flip it for a fast profit,” said Senator Max Baucus, Democrat of Montana and chairman of the Finance Committee.

The tax credit has fired-up the housing market, driving existing home sales to the highest level in over two years. The National Association Realtors reported sales jumped 9.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.57 million units in September and are 9.2% higher than the 5.10 million-unit pace in September 2008.

The legislation included provisions added to address complaints of fraud as well. The Internal Revenue Service is given greater authority to oversee the process to root out fraud, and provisions are added in response to past abuses of false sales or underage buyers. An investigation by the Treasury Department’s Inspector General for Tax Administration found that more than 580 children, some as young as four years old, had received $627,000 in first-time homebuyer credits. The IRS has identified 167 suspected criminal schemes and opened nearly 107,000 examinations of potential civil violations of the first-time homebuyer tax credit.



Read more: http://rismedia.com/2009-11-04/senate-clears-homebuyer-tax-credit-extension-may-pass-as-early-as-this-week/#ixzz0VzwvIrS0

A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (November 4, 2009 Edition)

The Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

In its press release, the FOMC noted that the U.S. economy "has continued to pick up" since the September FOMC meeting and that housing market activity has increased.

It's the third consecutive post-FOMC statement in which the Fed speaks optimistically about the U.S. economy -- a signal that the recession is likely over.

The economy isn't without threats, however, and the Fed identified several in its announcement, including:

1. Ongoing job losses for American workers
   
2. Reduced fixed investment by businesses
   
3. Ongoing challenges for the financial markets

The overall tone remained positive, however, as inflation appears to be held in check.

Also in its statement, the Fed confirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent "for an extended period" and to honor its $1.25 trillion commitment to the mortgage bond market.

The Fed plans to wind down its mortgage market support over the next 5 months, reaffirming its March 2010 exit date.  For now, Fed support helps hold mortgage rates down.

Mortgage market reaction to the Fed's press release is negative overall.  Mortgage rates are rising.

The FOMC's next scheduled meeting is December 15-16, 2009.

Because Of The Federal Reserve, You Should Lock Before 2:15 PM ET Today

The Federal Open Market Committee caps off a scheduled, 2-day meeting today in the nation's capital, its 8th meeting of the year.

The group adjourns at 2:15 PM ET and, as is customary, will issue a press release reviewing its monetary policy and the health of the U.S. economy. 

The FOMC's post-meeting statements are brief but comprehensive. They're a window into the mind of the Federal Reserve and Wall Street picks apart every sentence for clues.

It's why FOMC meetings tend to shake up the mortgage markets -- for good and for bad. 

After its September 2009 meeting, the FOMC said in its press release:

1. Financial markets have improved
   
2. Housing activity has increased
   
3. Economic activity has "picked up"

Since September, the momentum has picked up.  Credit risks have reduced further, home sales are surging, and, although unemployment remains high, the Fed remains optimistic about a full economic recovery.

Today's FOMC press release will be closely watched. If the Fed alludes to strong growth with inflation in 2010, mortgage rates should rise. Reference to slower growth should help keep rates steady.

The FOMC is expected to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent -- the lowest it's been in history.  However, it's what the Fed says Wednesday that will matter more than what it does.

If you're floating a mortgage rate or wondering if the time is right to lock, the safe approach is to lock prior to 2:15 PM ET Wednesday.

Higher Home Prices Ahead, Says The Pending Home Sales Index

The housing market continues to steam forward.

As reported by the National Association of Realtors®, the Pending Home Sales Index posted its 8th consecutive monthly gain in September.

It's the longest winning streak in the history of the index and Pending Home Sales are now at their highest levels since December 2006.

A Pending Home Sale is a home under contract to sell, but not yet closed.  It's the precursor to an Existing Home Sale. 

Trade group data shows that nearly 80 percent of "pending" homes close within 2 months.  The majority of those remaining close within months 3 and 4.

When the Pending Home Sales Index rises, it tells us that market activity has picked up.  September's data confirms what we've been noticing since February -- the Buyers Market is ending.

With more homes under contract in the marketplace, homebuyers typically face one or more of the following:

   1. Competitive, multiple-offer situations
   2. Reduced purchase price leverage over sellers
   3. Fewer seller concessions

Therefore, if you're buying a home in the next several months, know that the 8-month run in Pending Sales will lead to a run in closed sales.  It should result in higher home prices, too

Indeed, we're already seeing it.